XRP Price Prediction: Bullish Technicals and ETF Hype Target $25

#XRP

• Technical Rebound Signal: Oversold Bollinger position and MACD convergence suggest upward pressure
• Regulatory Catalyst: SEC settlement and GENIUS Act progress may remove adoption barriers
• Institutional Demand: ETF approval would unlock billions in institutional capital flows

XRP Price Prediction

XRP Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building

XRP is currently trading at 2.1265 USDT, slightly below its 20-day moving average of 2.2170, suggesting a potential buying opportunity. The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover with the histogram at -0.0337, indicating weakening downward momentum. Bollinger Bands show the price NEAR the lower band (2.0816), which often precedes a rebound toward the middle band (2.2170). BTCC financial analyst Ava notes: ''XRP''s technical setup favors accumulation—the MACD suggests bearish exhaustion, and a retest of the 20-day MA is likely.''

XRP Market Sentiment: Strong Fundamentals Drive Optimism

Positive catalysts dominate XRP''s news flow: Ripple''s RLUSD minting resumption, a potential SEC settlement (70% chance per Ripple''s lawyers), and soaring XRP ETF approval odds (98%). Amazon''s exploration of XRP payments and Ripple''s $30B IPO potential add to the bullish narrative. BTCC analyst Ava states: ''Regulatory clarity and institutional adoption could propel XRP toward $25 if the ETF is approved—market sentiment is the most bullish since 2021.''

Factors Influencing XRP’s Price

XRP Price Holds Steady Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

XRP has demonstrated unusual stability in a volatile market, trading within a tight $2.10-$2.18 range despite global tensions. The cryptocurrency''s 1.8% rise to $2.16 contrasts sharply with the broader market''s anxiety, as evidenced by a 34% drop in trading volume.

Market technicians note the 90-day MVRV indicator suggests XRP may be approaching a local top. The horizontal price action reflects investor caution—traders are avoiding large positions while geopolitical risks persist. This stability is particularly notable given the bearish sentiment dominating other digital assets.

Ripple Resumes RLUSD Minting with 12M Tokens Ahead of Senate Vote

Ripple has restarted the minting of RLUSD stablecoins, releasing 12 million new tokens into circulation after a planned pause since April 2025. The move comes just days before the U.S. Senate votes on the GENIUS Act, a pivotal bill that could shape the regulatory framework for stablecoins.

Trading volume for RLUSD surged 30% to $179 million following the minting announcement, reflecting heightened market activity. Ripple had previously burned 4 million RLUSD tokens in May 2025 to manage supply and stabilize prices. The total RLUSD supply now exceeds 400 million, underscoring Ripple''s strategy to maintain equilibrium in the token economy.

The timing suggests Ripple anticipates favorable regulatory developments from the GENIUS Act, which may bolster stablecoin operations in the U.S. Market participants are closely monitoring the Senate vote, with renewed interest in regulated digital assets.

XRP Lawsuit Nears Potential Settlement as Ripple and SEC File Joint Motion

Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission have taken a decisive step toward resolving their four-year legal battle. A joint motion filed proposes releasing $125 million from escrow, with $50 million allocated to the regulator and $75 million returning to Ripple. The agreement aims to forestall further appeals in this landmark case that has shadowed the cryptocurrency sector since 2020.

Prominent attorney John Deaton assesses a 70% probability of Judge Analisa Torres approving the settlement. The motion notably omits any acknowledgment of prior judicial criticism directed at the SEC''s approach, a point Deaton highlights as a missed opportunity for the regulator. Legal observers remain divided on whether the arguments presented could potentially unwind earlier rulings in the case.

Market participants view this development as a potential turning point for XRP, which has faced regulatory uncertainty since the SEC initially alleged Ripple''s native token constituted an unregistered security. A settlement would remove a significant overhang for one of cryptocurrency''s most enduring legal sagas.

XRP ETF Approval Odds Surge to 98%, Analysts Predict Price Rally to $25

The landscape for XRP has transformed dramatically in mid-2025, with ETF approval odds skyrocketing to 98% on Polymarket. This marks a seismic shift from earlier skepticism, driven by a wave of futures ETF filings, regulatory clarity from the SEC, and Ripple''s aggressive expansion into global finance.

Analysts are now forecasting parabolic price movements for XRP, with targets ranging from $22.20 to $27. The math supports these projections: inflows of just $5.85–$11.7 billion could trigger a breakout. RippleNet adoption and bullish technical indicators further bolster the case for XRP''s resurgence.

Wall Street''s growing confidence is evident. Polymarket''s odds have surged from 68% in April 2025 to 98%, fueled by filings from heavyweights like Bitwise, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton. The SEC''s decision to settle its lawsuit against Ripple for $125 million in March 2025 removed a key overhang, with a June 16 deadline poised to cement regulatory clarity.

Ripple Resumes RLUSD Token Issuance Amid GENIUS Act Anticipation

Ripple has reignited its stablecoin strategy with the issuance of 12 million RLUSD tokens, marking a significant shift after pausing production in April 2025. The move coincides with heightened regulatory scrutiny as the U.S. prepares to vote on the GENIUS Act, a bill poised to reshape digital asset oversight.

The company had previously issued 23 million RLUSD tokens across two batches before halting operations. Market observers interpret the relaunch as a calculated bet on regulatory clarity, with Ripple positioning RLUSD as a stability tool for volatile crypto markets. The circulating supply now reflects this strategic infusion.

Industry analysts draw parallels between the timing of Ripple''s move and the impending GENIUS Act decision. "We''re monitoring regulatory evolution closely," stated Ripple management, suggesting the bill''s outcome could determine stablecoins'' operational frameworks. The vote carries implications for market structure and institutional participation.

XRP Lawsuit Could End Soon, Ripple Lawyer Predicts 70% Settlement Chance

After four years of litigation, the Ripple vs SEC case nears resolution with a joint motion to settle. Ripple seeks to unlock $125 million from escrow—$50 million as a civil penalty to the SEC and $75 million returned to the company. The move aims to avoid further delays or appeals.

Attorney John Deaton estimates a 70% chance Judge Analisa Torres approves the deal. He refuted claims of expecting flattery in court filings but criticized the SEC for not acknowledging its aggressive stance on crypto. Past rulings have labeled the SEC''s actions as "arbitrary and capricious," with sanctions imposed in the Debt Box case. Judge Netburn previously accused the SEC of lacking "faithful allegiance to the law" in Ripple''s proceedings.

The filing omitted key arguments, including the unfairness of Ripple facing an injunction while the broader crypto industry gains regulatory clarity. Deaton highlighted upcoming legislation like the Clarity Act and Genius Act as compelling reasons for settlement.

XRP Price Indicators Signal Bullish Momentum Amid Ecosystem Growth

XRP''s technical setup suggests an impending breakout, reinforced by surging trade volumes and accelerating ecosystem development. The cryptocurrency''s 24-hour trading volume spiked to $2.71 billion, reflecting heightened market activity despite broader sector headwinds.

Regulatory clarity and growing adoption in cross-border payments continue to bolster investor confidence. Market participants are positioning for potential catalysts, including the possible approval of a spot XRP ETF and protocol upgrades anticipated from Ripple''s recent XRPL Apex Developer Summit.

Price action remains resilient at the $2.21-$2.23 range, with the volume surge indicating strategic accumulation. As fundamental drivers strengthen, XRP is re-emerging as a utility asset with institutional appeal.

Uphold’s FXRP Staking Model Could Reshape XRP Rewards – If Regulators Allow It

Uphold is pioneering a novel approach to enable staking for XRP, leveraging the Flare network''s DeFi infrastructure. With over 10 million users globally, the platform aims to test a system where XRP holders can earn yield through wrapped tokens (FXRP) on Flare''s liquidity pools. CEO Simon McLoughlin describes the model as ''feasible and promising,'' though U.S. regulatory hurdles may delay implementation.

Unlike proof-of-stake assets, XRP lacks native staking capabilities. Uphold''s workaround involves locking user XRP in reserves while minting equivalent FXRP on Flare—unlocking yield opportunities typically unavailable for the token. A beta test with select users could launch soon, contingent on regulatory clarity.

Ripple''s Potential $30B IPO Could Redefine Crypto Market Benchmarks

Ripple Labs may be positioning for a record-shattering initial public offering, with former director Sean McBride projecting a $30 billion valuation based on its current share buyback program. At $175 per share, the blockchain payments company would eclipse historic debuts like Saudi Aramco ($29.4B) and Alibaba ($25B) if it proceeds with listing plans.

Market observers note the $700 million tender offer signals confidence in Ripple''s underlying value, though insiders caution an immediate IPO filing remains unlikely. The San Francisco-based firm continues to navigate its ongoing SEC lawsuit while expanding cross-border payment infrastructure.

Amazon Explores Ripple''s XRP Integration for Payments

Amazon Web Services (AWS) has revealed active discussions about integrating Ripple''s XRP into its payment systems during a recent panel. A company representative confirmed a dedicated team member is evaluating XRP''s utility for merchant and consumer platforms, signaling a potential shift from exploration to implementation.

The crypto community has reacted strongly to the news, interpreting AWS''s interest as a major validation of XRP''s enterprise potential. With AWS''s dominant position in cloud infrastructure, such an integration could significantly expand XRP''s real-world adoption.

While no formal partnership has been announced, the disclosure marks one of the most concrete indications of institutional interest in XRP to date. Market observers note this development comes amid growing enterprise adoption of blockchain solutions for cross-border payments.

SEC Faces Scrutiny: Legal Experts Challenge Arguments in XRP Case

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission''s handling of the XRP lawsuit is under fire. Marc Fagel, a former SEC regional director, and crypto attorney John E. Deaton have publicly criticized the commission''s legal reasoning as unconvincing and lacking foundation. The case hinges on whether XRP should be classified as a security—a decision with far-reaching implications for the crypto market.

Joint submissions in the lawsuit represent a critical procedural moment, though the SEC''s approach has drawn skepticism. "The SEC''s explanation presented to the court is weak and unconvincing," Deaton stated. Market participants are closely watching for any ripple effects across crypto regulatory landscapes.

Is XRP a good investment?

XRP presents a compelling investment case based on both technical and fundamental factors:

BTCC''s Ava highlights: ''With Ripple''s legal overhang lifting and DeFi integrations like Uphold''s FXRP staking emerging, XRP could outperform major altcoins in H2 2025.''